In 1944, the U.S. and its allies tricked the Nazis into believing that an invasion of France would take place on a different part of the Atlantic coast than it did. Today, Ukraine is similarly hoping to surprise Russia with the start of a spring or summer counteroffensive. The Russians know that a major attack is coming but not the form it will take.
The outcome of that counteroffensive could shape the outcome of the war. A successful campaign by Ukraine, retaking territory that Russia now controls, could cause President Vladimir Putin to fear outright defeat and look for a face-saving peace deal. A failed counteroffensive could cause Ukraine’s Western allies to wonder whether the war is winnable and potentially push Ukraine toward an unfavorable truce.
The Ukrainian spring counteroffensive — if it ever even happens — is not going to succeed. It cannot succeed. All this talk of recapturing lands from Russia is hysterical nonsense. We are simply gearing up to waste more billions of dollars, and more tens of thousands of Ukrainian lives, for no sane reason whatsoever.
ArklahomBoy 